Friday, April 10, 2020

In: HSSen (Ed.) 2019. "The Sundarbans: A Disaster-Prone Eco-Region. Increasing Livelihood Security, Springer Nature





Climate-Risk Sundarbans Needs Multi-
Pronged and Unified Approach
for Ecological Sustenance a Necessity
for Improved Livelihood: Summary
and Concluding Remarks

H.S.Sen

The Sundarbans is an agglomeration of about 200 islands, separated by some 400 interconnected tidal rivers, creeks and canals spanning across two neighbouring countries of India and Bangladesh, is one of the largest productive deltas in the world and located in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna river basin. It has a rich heritage of biodiversity of flora and fauna possibly unparallel to coastal or any other ecosystem in the world. Only 29 nations and territories in the world have a population density higher than that in Sundarbans. The populace of Sundarbans suffers due to abject poverty with poor livelihood security because of various constraints including climate-related disasters. There is need for a holistic look at the entire problem being essentially of transboundary nature, since the problems and solutions of the two are not only mutually dependent but also complementary to each other, and therefore attempts were made in this book seeking for a future road map for higher and sustainable productivity and improved livelihood status of this contiguous area. The compendium embodies a unique fusion of various risk factor analyses with respect to geohydrological, climatic, disaster, natural, and anthropological aspects in search of the goal while the ecology of the entire area is protected. While analysing various areas on a holistic note it was urged to explore the prospects of ecotourism, a non-farm activity, with mangrove destinations, on transboundary mode to support livelihood security particularly during stress periods.

Keywords

Sundarbans livelihood security
Climate change policy
Mainstreaming climate change and adaptation strategies
Tidal river management
E-flow and hydrogeological conditions in rivers         
Biodiversity conservation and forest nmangement
Soil, water and crop management
Sweet and brackish water fisheries and aquaculture
Economics risk factor analysis
Ecotourism a non-farm sector

 21.1 Introduction

The Sundarbans is an agglomeration of about 200 islands, separated by some 400 interconnected tidal rivers, creeks and canals spanning across two neighbouring countries of India and Bangladesh. is one of the largest productive deltas in the world and located in the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna river basin over parts of Bangladesh and India. The coastal mangrove wetland is playing a potential role in balancing the ecology, community socio-economy, and livelihoods of the community. It has been declared by UNESCO as World Natural Heritage Site in 1997. It is a hotspot of mangrove biodiversity with 373 faunal and 324 floral species. It is the habitat of world’s largest contiguous mangrove forest and abode for the enigmatic Royal Bengal Tiger. The area, over time, has been continuously truncated in size and at present it is approximately three-fifths the size of what existed 200 years ago (about 16,700 sq km), the rest having been cleared and converted to agriculture and allied activities.  Of the present expanse of 10217 sq km, 4262 sq km (41.7%) is in India. About half of the area in India (2320 sq km) is land mass. The rest 5955 sq km (58.3%) is in Bangladesh. The Sundarbans eco-region holds about 0.1 percent of the global population, 137 countries/territories have population less than the Sundarbans, 67 countries/territories are smaller in size, and only 29 nations and territories have a higher population density. The region, therefore, is globally significant not only for the natural area and biodiversity, but also for the number of people who inhabit.
The eco-region, which is particularly sensitive, has huge significance in terms of the deluge of ecological services and functions for human welfare. But unbridled and naive anthropogenic avarice is taking a heavy toll of Sundarbans resources in both the countries ripping people of the region off their precious livelihoods. Obviously, the future steps for improvement should be of mutual benefit to both the countries, more specifically the tidal dominated eco-region. There is need for a holistic look at the entire problem being essentially of transboundary nature, so much so that the problems and solutions of the two are not only mutually dependent but also complementary to each other, and therefore attempts were made in this book seeking for a future road map for higher and sustainable productivity and improved livelihood status of this contiguous area. The compendium embodies a unique fusion of various risk factor analyses with respect to geohydrological, climatic, disaster, natural, and anthropological aspects in search of the goal while the ecology of the entire area is protected.
___________________________________________________________________________
H.S.Sen
Editor; Former Director, ICAR-Central Research Institute for Jute & Allied Fibres
Present address: 2/74 Naktala, P.O. Naktala, Kolkata 700047, West Bengal, India, PIN 700047 
email: hssen.india@gmail.com
21.2 Need for Policy Integration on Climate Change
The eco-region across Bangladesh and India falls prey to climate change variabilities and extremes, as a result of which, livelihood of farmers and other inhabitants suffer. Both countries have their individual policies on climate change, unfortunately there are wide gaps in approaches with few commonalities. This is striking, since in spite of the very presence of SAARC since 1985, having mandate to address such vital issues between the riparian countries, little progress has been made, as a result both continue to suffer. For example, GoI considers the Himalayan ecosystem is vital to ecological security, as the basic, of the Indian landmass through various action plans, while GoB does not consider the inland ecosystem being possibly not its priority. Policies with respect to Sundarbans eco-region have been compared and critically analysed to identify; most importantly, the National Action Plan and Climate Change Policy of India (2008) does not address sea level rise, storm surges, and urban flooding issues with emphasis, ignoring their impact on low-lying coastal zones. Construction of embankments to prevent flooding of the low-lying areas has been missing, so much so that the risk of rural livelihoods, income, and important issue like food security due to climate change were not addressed. Bangladesh gives appropriate emphasis on these issues. However, the coverage of GoI on coastal protection has been limited to soft activities which include high resolution modelling, development of salt tolerant crops, timely forecasting and warning of flood and cyclones occurrences, and enhanced plantation and regeneration of mangroves and coastal forests. Unlike Bangladesh, ‘adaptation’ to the miseries due to the weather extremes has been little emphasized in the policy of India. ‘Mitigation’ policies are also widely different in the two countries. Even policies and strategies to tackle loss of marine and coastal eco-region are widely different. India however gives considerable importance to mitigating greenhouse gas emission through expansion of renewable wastes and afforestation.  Making note of such wide variation in the country-wise policies on key issues on climate change it is strongly advocated, to start with,  undertake integration of the policies of the two countries, and possibly Nepal also, all sharing the GBM basin, under the aegis of SAARC, to address key concerns and vulnerabilities, and discuss all related issues with open mind having full regards to geo-political sovereignty of the countries.              
21.3 Deteriorated E-flow in the Ganges and Need to Upswing: Joint Action Plan to Monitor and Suggest Future Improvements
If climate change were an issue to ponder upon with utmost emphasis, it is possibly equally important to have a look at the role of Farakka Barrage, and deteriorated hydrology of surface and ground water, and their impacts on the eco-region down to the south. The construction of Farakka Barrage across the Ganga is located 17 km upstream of the diversion of the river into Hooghly-Bhagirathi flowing through India and Padma-Brahmaputra-Meghna and their tributaries into Bangladesh ─ all finally terminating into the Bay of Bengal. It has been observed by a few of the barrage to be too inadequate to bring about any positive impact either to flush out sediment load or to increase navigational prospect for the Kolkata Port or to share dry season flow between the two countries for their mutual benefits, the very purposes for which it was conceived. There is little compatibility between the computed flow in 1977 and the actually available flow into Farakka after that, owing possibly to large and continual diversion of the river water at the upstream by a long list of hydro-power and irrigation projects in the later decades leading to deteriorating E-flow of water in the upstream stretch of the river Ganga within the Indian territory. Ganga is now one of the world’s top ten rivers at risk due to over-extraction and pollution of water quoting the data of WWF-International, Gland, Switzerland. India's role as sharing entirely the upstream flow of water passing through a number of states before reaching the Farakka Barrage in West Bengal is therefore crucial in studying the impact of alleged wrong-doings both at public and private sectors on the South Bengal (India) and a major part of Bangladesh. This appears to be a glaring factor for a series of problems created therefrom causing saline water intrusion inland, rise of salinity in soil and water, affecting adversely both agriculture and sweet water aquaculture in Sundarbans in both countries. Although there are reports available in the Indian part that the navigation in Kolkata Port suffers significantly due to increasing sedimentation in rivers over time, there is considerable concern of saline water intrusion in Bangladesh. The affected lower Ganga delta in Bangladesh is much larger in area and possibly requires critical attention. Discharge data of the Ganga river for the period of 1970 to 2011, according to one analysis, show that dry season (November–May) flow has decreased up to 82% after the construction of Farakka Barrage.
Deteriorating hydrology in the rivers are also responsible for higher rate of erosion than accretion in the river banks, as result the islands in the Sundarbans are continually being modified.  Appropriate interventions are needed to resuscitate the Ganga to arrest the adverse trend of hydrology considered to be possibly the most important component in terms of deteriorating E-flow at the earliest and, in due course, reverse it for sustainable ecology. Norms on drawing of quantum of water by the hydro-power stations mostly in Uttarakhand with respect to the flow rate have been so far arbitrarily decided during planning. and without provision for sound assessment of the impacts, although some attempts have been made lately for such assessment, noteworthy of which has been by WWF-India. Dwindling water flow and deteriorating water quality in the downstream thus affect drastically the livelihood in the delta in many ways.
Questions are often raised about the trend in the change of biodiversity due to reducing amount of flow over time in the lower delta, especially in Sundarbans spread over both countries. Now the ecosystem is changing rapidly and biodiversity is depleting fast with the extinction of some species of the mangrove forest species. It however still provides ideal habitats for a variety of unique plants, aquatic organisms, and animals. A number of factors have been identified for the loss of biodiversity over time in the whole delta. Though it is not possible to attribute quantitatively the loss to different factors, most of them are directly and indirectly linked with reduced water flow in conjunction with various anthropogenic factors and climate change. 
Indo-Bangladesh cooperation on the Ganges has been limited to just water sharing and exchange of partial data during flood season. It needs to be expanded to a more collective regional water management approach, and to view the Ganges as a precious resource, one that must be jointly managed to maximize benefits. To develop arrangements for the mutual benefit of all the riparian countries, collective efforts and joint studies are needed. These include studies on the hydrological and morphological changes in the Ganges, feasibility studies of the construction of storage reservoirs upstream and modelling of the hydrology of the basin. Joint optimum water utilization, legal water sharing arrangements and institutions for sustainable management of the Ganges water resources would result in socioeconomic development and ecological benefits and improve the livelihoods of the entire population of the Ganges depended area. A more equitable and sustainable solution to the contemporary challenges could be achieved by shifting the focus from just water sharing to the wider development objectives of utilizing the benefits from integrated water management and development of the river’s watershed. To achieve these objectives, the riparian countries must approach the basin as a single ecological entity and the elements of sustainability and equity should be incorporated in water planning and policy goals.
It is, therefore, important to place on record, in light of the above background, that the lower Ganga delta of both India (south of Farakka) and Bangladesh (south-west), which shares the same ecology, faces threats due to dwindling water diversion via Farakka Barrage and deteriorating E-flow and water quality of the river in the upstream at different places in India. This, other than the need for integration of climate change policies of the two countries, necessitates a holistic plan to be taken up by the governments of both countries through mutually exclusive agreements, and for the latter the following suggestions are made to seek for a lasting solution.
·        There appears to be a need for revisiting the design of the Farakka Barrage, as well as the discharge and distribution norms of water in the interest of the two countries, keeping in view of the predicted flow of upstream Ganga water in long-term perspectives, and if necessary, fresh norms to be decided.
·        Predicted flow of water through Ganga-Brahmaputra, both originating in Tibet, river system on account of retreat of glaciers and other parametric uncertainties due to climate change needs to be studied and refined with appropriate climate models in deciding the future norms for distribution of water via Farakka Barrage with as much precision as possible in different time scales. 
·        Need for fresh installation of hydro-electric power and irrigation projects in India must be given extremely careful consideration with stringent norms for discharge of river water in the upstream, along with impact analysis as a mandatory requirement, so that ecology of the area is not disturbed.
·        Past hydro-electric power and irrigation projects in the upstream already in commission need also to be reviewed in terms of the norms for discharge of water, and if necessary, to be revised, so that ecology of the area is not disturbed.
·        Strict administrative vigilance to be maintained to stop acts on unscrupulous diversion of water forthwith by private agencies in India.
·        Location-specific integrated water development and management schemes at strategic points over the entire flow length in different time scales to be prepared and their methods of implementation be worked out, with adequate participation and vigilance from the local inhabitants, to ensure maintaining prescribed water quality throughout the year in India.
·        In India, in particular, impacts of the water flow at different strategic points into lower delta in respect of salinity in soil & water, flow rate, tidal amplitude and fluctuations, sedimentation/ hydrological parameters, navigation through rivers and in Kolkata Port, ground water table depths and qualities, important components of biodiversity, and any other related parameters should be taken up and monitored with a holistic plan, over minimum five year phases, through a central task force comprising of scientists, NGOs, government officials, local inhabitants, and the same placed in public domain. Similar programmes should be simultaneously planned and taken up by Bangladesh. A core team consisting of key members drawn from both countries should interact and monitor the progress once in each year and suggest for improvement with respect to targets fixed.  
Technological advancements reported at country-level are focused in the following sections worth mutual attention and holistic application.
21.4 Mainstreaming of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies
Because of geo-physical characteristics of the Sundarbans, the adaptation options to tackle the impacts of climate change and sea level rise are limited. Perhaps the most effective step will be to restore the fresh water supply that the southwest region used to receive in pre-1975 period. Construction of a Barrage on the Ganges, just downstream of the distributaries, namely the Gorai-Modhumati, and, the Chandana-Barashia in Bangladesh will be able to restore the flow partially. For this purpose, a collaborative action, jointly, by India and Bangladesh may be pursued to ensure proper management of the adverse impacts of climate change and fight the sea level rise-induced salinity that is likely to rise further.  For the Bangladesh part of the Sundarbans, it is suggested that the major aim of adaptation for Sundarbans would be to modify the threats of permanent inundation from the sea level rise-induced submergence. It was opined that the submergence process could not be stopped as most of the sea level rise would occur from the tectonic subsidence. One of the options is to retard the inundation process by enhancing sedimentation on the forest floor by applying guided sedimentation techniques. However, such techniques need to be piloted before formal application in the forest. The second but the most important adaptation option would be targeting to reduce the threat due to salinity intrusion as well as bringing down its concentration. This could be done through: (a) increasing freshwater flows from upstream areas; (b) resuscitation of existing river networks towards improving flow regime along the forest; and (c) artificial enhancement of existing river networks to facilitate freshwater flow regime along the rivers supplying freshwater to the western parts of the forest. Building hydropower dams in Nepal could also be an effective cross-border adaptation option for the Sundarbans. Flow of the Ganges can be doubled in the dry months by storing a small portion of monsoon flows in the Nepalese dams. Low flow augmentation could check saline water intrusion and help sustaining the Sundarbans ecosystem. For the Indian Sundarbans, World Bank recommended to consider long- and short-term adaption options and suggested the following: (a) estuary management measures such as embankment realignment, mangrove restoration, and salinity management to reduce long-term threats; and (ii) disaster risk management interventions such as early warning systems, emergency preparedness, and cyclone shelters to tackle near-term threats. It is stressed that inclusion of Nepal during the negotiations in the spirit of the 1977 Ganges Water Agreement will be beneficial for both parties.
21.5   Engineering Intervention on Tidal River Management and Scope for Creating On-    farm Water Storage Structure for Integrated Water Management
The reduction in flow and sediment abetted by sea level rise has led to increased flooding of low-lying agricultural lands. The freshwater availability during non-monsoon is highly deficient. Estuary management by way of closure though engineering structure has been adopted in several countries to create freshwater storage, and this holds promise for Sundarbans as well. Tidal river management (TRM), a practice which has been adopted in Bangladesh, has the potential of reducing the flood hazard. However, introduction of this ecotechnology requires careful considerations including: sequential availability of beels, limits on trapping silt, and the duration for this can be practised at a given location. In India, the idea of creating a freshwater storage is recommended by damming Saptamukhi river or elsewhere, using suitable state-of-the-art technology through phased development, and it is likely to reduce the vulnerability of Sundarbans to natural hazards ─ the practice therefore needs a serious re-look.
It was suggested from water balance analysis conducted in India considerable scope of rainwater harvesting in on-farm reservoir (OFR) for irrigation and raise multiple crops in a year. It was recommended for this purpose to convert 20% of the farm area into OFR. Simulation of surface drainage improvement with and without OFR indicated surface drainage improvement, at the same time, up to 75% in low-lying rice areas at one site, thus providing scope for cultivation of HYV of rice in rainfed lowlands.
21.6 Erosion and Accretion of the River Banks: Dynamic Shifting of the Islands 
The low-lying coastal areas of Sundarbans mostly covered by mangrove forests is threatened by erosion. Multi-temporal satellite imageries were used attempting to address the issues of erosion and sea level rise in the mangrove forested islands of entire Sundarbans covering India and Bangladesh. Near about 325 sq km of land area has been found to be eroded during this period over nearly three decades (1990-2017). Another spatio-temporal study using satellite remote sensing showed, while the mangroves’ areal extent has not changed much in the recent past, accretion rate of coastline has declined as against erosion rate which has remained relatively high in the recent years. As a result, the delta front has undergone a net erosion of ~170 km2 of coastal land during 1973 to 2010. It could be inferred, from the two satellite studies that the relative loss of landmass has increased with time, and this is alarming.   
21.7 Disaster Monitoring and Forecast, and Preparedness for Relief Actions
ISRO (India) observed from remote sensing satellites studies that although the disaster of the ecosystem cannot be averted completely the impact and loss of life can be minimized by effective implementation of frontier technologies like information communication technology (ICT) through advance warning, last mile communication, preparedness, monitoring, and damage assessment. Satellite data products are used in pre-disaster planning, which includes vulnerability zonation. In the flood prevention phase services of meteorological satellites can be used to detect various aspects of hydrological cycle especially cloud type, precipitation rate, moisture transport, and surface soil wetness which are vital inputs for runoff modelling. Flood extent is determined from moderate to high resolution remote sensing satellite, viz. IRS, Landsat, Spot, etc. The model-derived potential flood extent can help emergency managers to develop contingency plans well in advance. In response phase of disaster mitigation, remote sensing data are used for damage assessment. The case studies applied to Sundarbans showed application of the remote sensing technologies to monitor ecological disturbances following cyclones and landmass change due to accretion and erosion, the latter causing change in the boundary of islands, a dynamic phenomenon, often not accessible physically due to remoteness, particularly during post-hazards period. It is prudent, therefore, that although both countries made individual efforts to make such studies using advanced technologies to cope up with hazards being essentially of transboundary in nature, a combined approach using similar sensors and with frequent exchange of data could be more effective in the preparation and implementation of policy framework  for early warning systems, preparedness, monitoring, and mitigating loss due to hazards, including rehabilitation, which are otherwise rituals affecting adversely the lives and socioeconomic conditions of the inhabitants.
For instance, cyclone Aila in 2009 proved that a low-magnitude cyclone of category 1 could have devastating and long-lasting impacts to the impoverished coastal residents of the affected areas. Such impacts were unexpected by the governments of both Bangladesh and India. They were also not well prepared for this event. For example, a sample survey conducted in the Indian part of the Sundarbans reported that only 5% people had knowledge about Cyclone Aila before it made landfall. This implies that the cyclone forecasting and warning systems were deployed in an untimely manner or failed to reach the coastal residents. On the other hand, the Government of Bangladesh downplayed the impacts of Aila by not declaring an official emergency in its immediate aftermath and not requesting external assistance. This supports the argument that public cyclone preparedness was not adequate to protect these embankments.     
21.8 Climate Change and Biodiversity Conservation
The mangroves, the largest and most precious community in Sundarbans out of the whole world, are extremely valuable heritage on account of mainly, its role in blocking the storm surge and cyclones to mitigate damage to inlands, maintaining ecology comprising of major 45 species including its role as food chain of the flora and fauna, and as source of economy and livelihood of the local inhabitants. Tropical mangroves forests are now among the most threatened habitats in the world. Studies indicated that mangrove forest degradation due to anthropogenic activities has been checked to a great extent. Nevertheless, there is a growing concern of latent degradation of mangroves vegetation across the transboundary Sundarbans due to certain environmental causes, such as (i) increased salinity, (ii) erosion of forest-lands, and (iii) increased frequency of natural hazards. These issues are unlikely to develop any sudden impact on mangroves vegetation covering large scale areas, but their persistent effect may alter vegetation dynamics in long term. In this context, Indian part needs to recreate environment using and managing sediment-laden freshwater of the feeder canal. Recreation of the Bangladesh Sundarbans environment involves two steps- (i) dredging sand bars from the Ganges and distributaries leading to the Sundarbans and allowing uniform sediment-laden freshwater flow inside the Sundarbans for maintaining oligohaline environment, and (ii) uniform deposition of sedimentation around forest-lands. Unfortunately, no joint effort engaging experts from both the countries has been effective to protect mangroves and its ecosystem until now. Either part of the transboundary Sundarbans has been subject to individual effort to protect and promote the Sundarbans, but these means are insufficient, since they are mutually dependent on each other, and therefore a united effort is required. The difficulty to compile a biological resource inventory as a unified unit in each taxonomic hierarchy across the transboundary Sundarbans has been compounded. There are different enumerations of biological organisms in the respective Sundarbans and so there are chances of more errors surfacing. In such case ambiguity may occur when the Sundarbans – a united block of mangroves forest covering both countries is considered. Until recently, global warming and sea level rise has been predicted to cause adversity to the transboundary Sundarbans and in such case, further, joint effort is urgently needed to protect the Sundarbans by way of plantation of climate resilient mangroves and develop a uniform management practices. Sincerely, a joint collaboration involving both countries, is required, else the fate of the unique eco-region across the transboundary Sundarbans may be at stake.
In a study in Bangladesh, the conservative prediction of IPCC clearly stated that the sea level will rise by 7 to 23 inches by the end of the century. Glaciers are melting resulting in sea level rise. Coral reefs, which are highly sensitive to small changes in water temperature and acidity of water, suffered the most and many succumbed to death. An upsurge in the number and intensity of extreme weather events, such as forest fires, heat waves, cyclones, floods, etc. has become established. It has been cautioned by many that up to 30% of animal and plant species could be wiped out by a global temperature rise of 2.7 to 4.5 degrees Celsius. Under such change the nature might adjust (i.e. adaptation). It is already visible that some species that love low saline condition, such as Sundri (Heritierra fomes), Shingra (Cynometra ramiflora), etc. have started to die in Sundarbans, while Passur (Xylocarpus spp) has become almost rare now. More salt tolerant species, such as Goran (Ceriops roxburgii), Jhana (Rhizophora mucronata), etc. will come to occupy these sites. Similar impact is seen on aquatic fauna as well. With the climate change impact, the fresh water availability in the Sundarbans Impact Zone will further decline and ultimately will get devoid of any fresh water, both surface and ground water. The cyclonic storms and tidal surges will gradually get enhanced and ultimately get very severe, which will cause a mass migration of population of the SIZ area to further north. Under such anticipated devastating predictions, a close and intensive monitoring on a regular basis to activate early warning protocol is essential.
The lower species in plant kingdom, the algae, are normally undermined. As a group, they do not include single taxa but is an agglomeration of absolutely unrelated or distantly related groups of organisms. This confers them a variety of morphology, structure, process, and characteristics unknown in any other single group of organisms. Sundarbans, spread across India and Bangladesh, is reportedly quite rich in terms of its algal flora with the presence of 762 species of algae, documented possibly for the first time. It is possible to delineate their presence in different zones of Sundarbans with notes on the habitats they occupy, while their dynamics in the ecosystem are dependent on many different environmental variables. The water quality data did not reveal much in terms of change but application of a diatom-based palaeo-limnological analysis suggests a subtle, yet distinct species assemblage shift 1987 onwards, along with climate change. It is therefore important to pay increased attention to algae, particularly diatom flora in Sundarbans, while inferring climate change effects in the past, for the purpose of predicting future climate dynamics, and also for possible impacts of climate change on the system. 
21.9 Spatio-temporal Variability of Soil and Water Characteristics: Need for Detailed Study on Groundwater System
Scores of data are being generated on soil and water characteristics in both India and Bangladesh. It is clear from the trend, which is spatio-temporally variable in nature, that rivers and estuaries are tending to become principally tide-fed with time since there appears to be lesser flow of water from the mighty Ganges in the upstream, being common to both countries, due to siltation and poor solid waste management. While, this is a matter of serious concern in so far as surface water hydrology and the related soil characteristics, being constraints limiting the crop productivity, leaving aside the frequent occurrence of climatic hazard and its influence in the eco-region, very little progress has been made on the groundwater and its utilization having tremendous potential otherwise from the point of view of its capacity along the coastal tract. It is indicative, though not conclusive so far from the limited studies, contrary to the observations from other coastal ecosystems in the globe, that the groundwater in Sundarbans is possibly not influenced by the adjoining rivers and the sea. In order of planning for exploitation of the coastal groundwater, specific programme needs to be undertaken, preferably in transboundary mode, to arrive at a definite conclusion and plan for the mode and nature of its use for irrigation and domestic purposes without affecting the ecology of the region.
21.10 Improved Land, Nutrient, Water, Crop Management Practices, and Key Features for Sustainable Economics of Cultivation
On the scope for use of stress-tolerant crops and other improved management aspects, it is advocated to adopt cropping system intensification in the Sundarbans by growing low water-requiring field crops, vegetable and fruits in rabi/ summer season, and introduction of high-value commercial crops under protected cultivation, which are commercially viable and having good market demand; adoption of high frequency-low volume irrigation practices, like drip or pitcher, implementation of integrated nutrient management involving sources having high nutrient-use efficiency; and use of improved agronomic management practices like drum-seeder for rice transplantaion. Land-shaping model has been advocated, in particular, for use of various crop intensification models including pisciculture and duckery. Diversification of agriculture through agroforestry may be an important proponent for resource utilization, enhancing farm income, and livelihood security of farmers in these traditionally mono-cropped coastal areas. Upon cropping system intensification and mechanization, energy requirement for agriculture should grow rapidly for round the year cultivation. To meet the demand for future energy requirement as well as to reduce the dependence on conventional (non-renewable) energy resources, there is a need to explore the alternative (un-conventional or renewable) energy sources like solar, biological or natural resources. Advanced research methodologies to increase water productivity through the use of appropriate crop models can help in optimizing the water use, reduce the pressure on the ground water, and address salinity development under the imminent changing climate scenarios.
On the economics front, risk factors involved in agricultural practices and recommendations for improvement, based on location-specific constraints, should be the most important considerations for decision-making in farm management, adoption of new technologies, and enhancing farm income. Suitable cropping system intensification, with emphasis on introduction of high-value crops, can be one of the ways to agricultural risk mitigation. Complementarity between agriculture and industry/non-farm entrepreneurship are suggested as yet other ways for risk management. It is suggested that professional help is needed, who could act as key service providers to supply inputs and facilitate availing credits, buying insurance products, and selling of produce through single-window system. Such professionals will act as the facilitators between farmers and government agencies and help risk mitigation in agriculture. It is inferred that enhancing farmers' income in Sundarbans, West Bengal is a challenging task but can be performed satisfactorily when technology interventions are combined with appropriate policy support. The most critical concern for the farmers in the Sundarbans region is not only to achieve higher farmers’ income level, but also to sustain the enhanced level across the different farmers’ groups.
21.11 Improved Sweet and Brackish Water Fisheries and Aquaculture
Estuarine aquatic systems and braided rivers in and adjacent to the Sundarbans and the vast area of the Ganges tidal floodplain next to the core forest area in Bangladesh holds rice aquatic faunal diversity and provides plenty of opportunities to grow fish, shrimps and crabs. Currently these systems provide direct employment opportunity for 1.2 million people and indirect or seasonal livelihood for more than 10 million people across the southwest coast. Hilsa is the largest fishery in this region and shrimp brings the highest cash and export earnings. This vast fertile area provides great opportunity to improve fish and shrimp production and improving the livelihoods of the people in this region. Proper implementation of fisheries regulation is critical to ensure conservation of the rich fish diversity of this region as well as to continue to support livelihood of millions of people living on fisheries. While aquaculture is the major contributor to national fish production, agricultural GDP and export earning, it requires planned advancement from the current state to continue to grow in harmony with environment. Integration with rice and other crops, and with mangrove wherever possible can bring long-term sustainability of these systems. Change in the river flow due to siltation and reduced upstream flow, climate change, sea level rise, outbreak of disease in fish and crustaceans are major challenges for future growth and sustainability of both aquaculture and fisheries in this region. Land zoning for different products, landscape-based integrated approach for saving fisheries, and technological advancement for sustainable and resilient aquaculture vis-a-vis their environmental and societal impacts can be the future directions for growth and improvement of fisheries and aquaculture. In addition, there should be mechanism to bring research outputs into use and make impact on sustainability. A plan is required considering overlapping interest of fisheries and aquaculture with strong scientific base. Strengthening and activation of multi-stakeholder coastal zone management is essential for conservation and management of fisheries; enhancement of aquatic and wetland biodiversity; and sustainable intensification of aquaculture, along with developing means to monitor and mitigate the environmental and societal impacts. Finding ways to grow aquaculture and fishery in harmony in a mangrove ecosystem is of vital importance.
Shrimp farming in Bangladesh coastal areas is growing very rapidly in commercial interest and is associated with several environmental and societal impacts which hinder sustainable development in this blooming sector. It is necessary for the government to strictly enforce the existing law in order to restrict this dangerous trend of the useful agricultural land turning waste, and also with the purpose to protect the environment at large.
In India, freshwater aquaculture contributes parallel economy and livelihood security of the peoples living in close vicinity in the eco-region. But fish productivity in the range of 1000 – 1200 kg ha-1 yr-1 in this region in India is much lower at present in comparison to national average of 2,840 kg ha-1 yr-1 mainly due to the non-scientific culture, poor quality fish seed, and overall lack of knowledge. Rainwater harvesting to get freshwater for multipurpose use like fish farming and integrating with livestock and crop production, land shaping, reclamation and re-excavation of sweet water sources including step-cutting or terracing on inward-slopes of the ponds, linkage between the fisheries output and effective marketing / processing, and moreover development of alternative climate adaptive livelihood options for the fish farmers, which will match to their skill and capacity, should be developed. Awareness among the farmers through continuous training, technology demonstration and development of alternative climate adaptive livelihood options for the fish farmers will help in meeting the food security and sustainable development of Sundarbans aquaculture. ICAR-CIFA is doing a commendable job in this direction in Sundarbans, India.
With the introduction of Pacific white shrimp (Penaeus vannamei) during 2009, Indian brackishwater aquaculture industry has grown rapidly. In addition, certain marine/ brackishwater fish such as, seabass, mullets, milkfish and pearlspot have shown a lot of promise. Successful domestication of indigenous Indian white shrimp (Penaeus indicus) and experimental farming using hatchery-produced seed by ICAR-CIBA showed encouraging results. Besides domestic consumption, fishery products exported from the state of West Bengal were 91263 tons of value Rs. 34390 million during 2015-16. Indian Sundarbans located in the southeast end of West Bengal offers congenial environment for growth of variety of fishes and shrimps. Frozen shrimp and live crab are the main export items from brackishwater aquaculture in Sundarbans. As the economic benefit is greater, there is a tendency of Sundarbans dwellers to shift from fishing to aquaculture for better livelihood. About 25% of 2.1 lakh ha potential brackishwater areas in West Bengal are under use and the state has been the Indian leader in tiger shrimp production while farmers adopted white leg shrimp farming late compared to other Indian maritime states after successful demonstration by ICAR-CIBA at its research centre at Kakdwip. There is vast scope for sustainable development of brackishwater aquaculture in Sundarbans to meet the livelihood demand utilizing the unused and underused areas and adopting advanced farming practices. Challenges faced by Sundarbans aquafarmers need to be tackled by appropriate management tools like social mobilization of aqua producers, technology assessment and refinement, participatory planning, and capacity building of key stakeholders. Besides the above, it is recommended to introduce water and soil testing facilities, supply of quality seeds and quality feed at affordable price, providing appropriate storage and value addition technologies necessary for marketing of the produce transported from remote areas, and making the farmers aware of environmental impact including soil degradation due to brackish water use, etc.
21.12 Non-farm Activity: Ecotourism a Potential Source with Wetland Mangrove Ecosystem as Destination
Review of societal transformation in the Sundarbans eco-region with intervention from administration time-to-time in respect of use of various professional practices over ages and lessons learnt therefrom showed interesting insights into their prospects and sustainability in as far as livelihood security was concerned. Climate change has been and is likely to complicate the prospects in future threatening the livelihood security.  For instance, transformation of forests to agriculture was common, but in view of the knowledge that brackish river water was a serious constraint, rice cultivation was persisted with since independence. Rising population and tidal waters, declining land and productivity, as well as more intense storms made the already non-conducive situation worse. It is strongly suggested, based on the lessons learnt to explore newer development options for livelihood security, this time in non-farm sector. Thus, although ecotourism with mangrove destinations, preferably on transboundary mode, seeks to increase opportunities to a significant note, there are no automatic benefits associated with ecotourism; and the success depends on joint exercise desired on good planning and management.
21.13 Conclusions
All the above episodes should address the livelihood security, directly or indirectly, of the inhabitants of Sundarbans eco-region, preferably if not mandatorily, planned and executed in a transboundary mode for mutual benefit to both countries. I sincerely wish and urge the planners, scientists and workers concerned to make a beginning on this note, with the view to not only save the ecology of this remarkably precious eco-region, as nature’s gift and a proud heritage, presently at its alarming stage of the very existence due to climate change, continually deteriorating hydrology of the rivers, and other anthropological interventions, but also suggest pathways for sustainable improvements of livelihood. Isolated strategies in the name of improvement without bothering for ecology for such sensitive areas as Sundarbans may prove highly dangerous for all time to come. To quote a simple example from India, the complacency of the administration to arrange roadways through silted-up river beds in Sundarbans by letting the rivers dry up due to sedimentation and reduced water flow in it is antithesis to development blunderingly ignoring ecology of the area.
There are lot of gaps in the planning and knowledge pool of the workers concerned, mostly because of isolated actions by both countries with very little attempts made so far on sharing and deliberating in open mind. I once again urge to explore and exploit non-farm actions, be it ecotourism or beyond, seriously, alongside application of on-farm activities, to improve livelihood sustainably with full protection to ecology of the area.



       









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